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We need to see a confirmation in the next few weeks. We need another session of gains of 1 to 2 percent for all the major indexes before I'll be confident that this is a bottom. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We need to see a confirmation in the next few weeks. We need another session of gains of 1 to 2 percent for all the major indexes before I'll be confident that this is a bottom.

The budget deficit is going to have to go up over the next three to seven years. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The budget deficit is going to have to go up over the next three to seven years.

There was a lot of trepidation on Monday after Friday's sell-off and when things didn't go from bad to worse, it has emboldened dip buyers to step in. But most of the investment community hasn't realized that the economy is slowing and that earnings are reflecting that and valuations are going to have to be adjusted. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

There was a lot of trepidation on Monday after Friday's sell-off and when things didn't go from bad to worse, it has emboldened dip buyers to step in. But most of the investment community hasn't realized that the economy is slowing and that earnings are reflecting that and valuations are going to have to be adjusted.

We may see some of the capital expenditures spent this year were more or less pulled through from early 2005. All these tech purchases would have been done anyway but they've just been moved forward. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We may see some of the capital expenditures spent this year were more or less pulled through from early 2005. All these tech purchases would have been done anyway but they've just been moved forward.

I'm looking for really good earnings, and I don't know that it's going to juice the market all that much. In order to go significantly higher, what's the catalyst? - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

I'm looking for really good earnings, and I don't know that it's going to juice the market all that much. In order to go significantly higher, what's the catalyst?

The concern is that if a lot of the gains are in energy, that's good news for energy, but not necessarily good news for the economy. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The concern is that if a lot of the gains are in energy, that's good news for energy, but not necessarily good news for the economy.

We were in this post-election trading range from November to April, and that broke down. The bull market has at least one more major run in it, but I think it's probably going to be sometime over the summer, when stocks get appreciably cheaper. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We were in this post-election trading range from November to April, and that broke down. The bull market has at least one more major run in it, but I think it's probably going to be sometime over the summer, when stocks get appreciably cheaper.

Markets don't make a top and then slide, topping is a process. Typically markets make an initial top, back off, try to surpass it, and can't do it. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Markets don't make a top and then slide, topping is a process. Typically markets make an initial top, back off, try to surpass it, and can't do it.

Regardless of whether this upcoming release shows inflation today, given the supply shock to oil, we're expected to see inflation move higher in the next few months. It would certainly put a fork in the concept that the Fed has the opportunity to pause. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Regardless of whether this upcoming release shows inflation today, given the supply shock to oil, we're expected to see inflation move higher in the next few months. It would certainly put a fork in the concept that the Fed has the opportunity to pause.

It's been a rough week, and at the end of the month, a painful round trip, - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

It's been a rough week, and at the end of the month, a painful round trip,

He will be dealing with a combination of a slowing economy, inflation pressures and a tumultuous stock market. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

He will be dealing with a combination of a slowing economy, inflation pressures and a tumultuous stock market.

You had enough of a sell-off in October that you created an oversold condition. We can rally to mid-December. We might back and fill for a week or two, but the rally will support a possible 10 percent move on the Nasdaq; the S&P can get up to 1,280, while the Dow maybe gets up another 500 to 1,000 points. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

You had enough of a sell-off in October that you created an oversold condition. We can rally to mid-December. We might back and fill for a week or two, but the rally will support a possible 10 percent move on the Nasdaq; the S&P can get up to 1,280, while the Dow maybe gets up another 500 to 1,000 points.

Anyone who can get away for the week does, and you end up with skeletal staffs. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Anyone who can get away for the week does, and you end up with skeletal staffs.

Four years after the bubble popped, I can't believe that companies still legitimately have enough fat that they can cut heads and that it would not affect them going forward, - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Four years after the bubble popped, I can't believe that companies still legitimately have enough fat that they can cut heads and that it would not affect them going forward,

Every buck that they are forced to spend elsewhere is that much less money (spent) on other issues. With technology it may not fall dollar-for-dollar, but you have to think that it's going to pinch a little bit. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Every buck that they are forced to spend elsewhere is that much less money (spent) on other issues. With technology it may not fall dollar-for-dollar, but you have to think that it's going to pinch a little bit.

Money

The Fed doesn't have to jack up rates really quickly since other economic indicators are softening. Capital expenditures are modest and employment figures are anemic, so the biggest danger the Fed faces is smothering the recovery. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The Fed doesn't have to jack up rates really quickly since other economic indicators are softening. Capital expenditures are modest and employment figures are anemic, so the biggest danger the Fed faces is smothering the recovery.

We had a nice run last week, but we can't go straight up. I wouldn't be surprised to see some back-and-fill. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We had a nice run last week, but we can't go straight up. I wouldn't be surprised to see some back-and-fill.

We were in this post-election trading range from November to April, and that broke down, ... The bull market has at least one more major run in it, but I think it's probably going to be sometime over the summer, when stocks get appreciably cheaper. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We were in this post-election trading range from November to April, and that broke down, ... The bull market has at least one more major run in it, but I think it's probably going to be sometime over the summer, when stocks get appreciably cheaper.

The Fed is now at the proverbial fork in the road, - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The Fed is now at the proverbial fork in the road,

There is a lot of economic news to digest between now and the next meeting. If we see economic signs that are positive, then that would encourage the Fed to stay on the course of gradual rate hikes, but if things slow down then maybe they would skip a meeting or two. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

There is a lot of economic news to digest between now and the next meeting. If we see economic signs that are positive, then that would encourage the Fed to stay on the course of gradual rate hikes, but if things slow down then maybe they would skip a meeting or two.

News

At the beginning of the war, every headline caused the market to go screaming. Now, the market seems to have become inured to violence. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

At the beginning of the war, every headline caused the market to go screaming. Now, the market seems to have become inured to violence.

There's still upside in tech but it's going to be more grudging and grinding and choppy, it's not going to be this moon shot that we saw a year ago. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

There's still upside in tech but it's going to be more grudging and grinding and choppy, it's not going to be this moon shot that we saw a year ago.

We see inflation rearing its head across the board. Contrary to what a lot of people have been saying, it's not just energy. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We see inflation rearing its head across the board. Contrary to what a lot of people have been saying, it's not just energy.

When you see a 250-point spurt like that in less than two months, that's not sustainable. What this pullback is doing, and I think will continue to do, is bring us back to a more sustainable level. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

When you see a 250-point spurt like that in less than two months, that's not sustainable. What this pullback is doing, and I think will continue to do, is bring us back to a more sustainable level.

Stock valuations have been stretched, everyone knows a rate hike is coming and great earnings are already baked into the stock market, so you're seeing this churning, and unfortunately, I would expect it to continue for the next few weeks. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Stock valuations have been stretched, everyone knows a rate hike is coming and great earnings are already baked into the stock market, so you're seeing this churning, and unfortunately, I would expect it to continue for the next few weeks.

When you stop and think about it, if the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At this point they're more concerned with basic food and shelter and not really comparison-shopping for mortgages. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

When you stop and think about it, if the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At this point they're more concerned with basic food and shelter and not really comparison-shopping for mortgages.

If you look at which sectors have done particularly well this year, including home builders, mining, energy, other commodities, they have done well because of unusual factors, ... such as the still historically low interest rates, which are already rising, or demand from China for commodities. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

If you look at which sectors have done particularly well this year, including home builders, mining, energy, other commodities, they have done well because of unusual factors, ... such as the still historically low interest rates, which are already rising, or demand from China for commodities.

The low-hanging fruit has been picked on a lot of the small caps already, and when the low-hanging fruit has been picked, you have to be more defensive. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The low-hanging fruit has been picked on a lot of the small caps already, and when the low-hanging fruit has been picked, you have to be more defensive.

Maybe the reason the VIX has dropped so low is that the options guys in Chicago are so exhausted from watching the Cubs. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Maybe the reason the VIX has dropped so low is that the options guys in Chicago are so exhausted from watching the Cubs.

Maybe the reason the VIX has dropped so low is that the options guys in Chicago are so exhausted from watching the Cubs, - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Maybe the reason the VIX has dropped so low is that the options guys in Chicago are so exhausted from watching the Cubs,

You can't fight the bond market. There's only so much the Fed can do. If investors are more concerned about economic growth slowing down in the future than inflation, they will flock to bonds. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

You can't fight the bond market. There's only so much the Fed can do. If investors are more concerned about economic growth slowing down in the future than inflation, they will flock to bonds.

The bond market is far less sanguine about the economy than the Fed is. They are essentially saying we don't see that much strength. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The bond market is far less sanguine about the economy than the Fed is. They are essentially saying we don't see that much strength.

When Greenspan spoke the market rallied, and when he stopped it gave the gains back, - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

When Greenspan spoke the market rallied, and when he stopped it gave the gains back,

When Greenspan spoke the market rallied, and when he stopped it gave the gains back. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

When Greenspan spoke the market rallied, and when he stopped it gave the gains back.

You're talking about the best-run companies in the world. The economy is slowing, it's starting to show up in earnings and revenue, and this is going to be a tough year. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

You're talking about the best-run companies in the world. The economy is slowing, it's starting to show up in earnings and revenue, and this is going to be a tough year.

Need I detail how silly this is? Home prices are up dramatically, and recently we see that mortgage rates have ticked up significantly. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Need I detail how silly this is? Home prices are up dramatically, and recently we see that mortgage rates have ticked up significantly.

If the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At this point they're more concerned with basic food and shelter and not really comparison-shopping for mortgages. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

If the Fed were to pause, what does it actually do for anybody ... in the afflicted Gulf region? At this point they're more concerned with basic food and shelter and not really comparison-shopping for mortgages.

Tech stocks are probably a little pricey. But they're not stupid pricey. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Tech stocks are probably a little pricey. But they're not stupid pricey.

The market never met a tax cut it didn't like and it would not be happy with a complete roll back, ... but if the economic recovery seems to be full-throated, the market might be willing to accept the rolling back of select tax cuts as a means of reducing the deficit, making John Edwards and John Kerry more appealing. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The market never met a tax cut it didn't like and it would not be happy with a complete roll back, ... but if the economic recovery seems to be full-throated, the market might be willing to accept the rolling back of select tax cuts as a means of reducing the deficit, making John Edwards and John Kerry more appealing.

If the Fed stops raising rates, the market will blame them if inflation gets too hot, and if they keep cranking up interest rates, then the real estate market is at risk. It's a somewhat challenging environment. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

If the Fed stops raising rates, the market will blame them if inflation gets too hot, and if they keep cranking up interest rates, then the real estate market is at risk. It's a somewhat challenging environment.

The only dark cloud to this number is that now the Fed has no reason whatsoever to stop raising rates. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

The only dark cloud to this number is that now the Fed has no reason whatsoever to stop raising rates.

Markets tend to temporarily wobble, and then return to their prior behavior. So don't panic or make any decisions based on your knee-jerk emotions. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Markets tend to temporarily wobble, and then return to their prior behavior. So don't panic or make any decisions based on your knee-jerk emotions.

Earnings have been coming in across the board pretty good, but the problem hasn't been earnings. The issue is the forward-looking statements for the fourth quarter or 2006. Despite good numbers, you see some stocks getting punished. It's a function of the outlook. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

Earnings have been coming in across the board pretty good, but the problem hasn't been earnings. The issue is the forward-looking statements for the fourth quarter or 2006. Despite good numbers, you see some stocks getting punished. It's a function of the outlook.

He is a known entity that is well-respected on the academic side, in Washington and by the stock market. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

He is a known entity that is well-respected on the academic side, in Washington and by the stock market.

We've been up for so long since May, two or three weeks of weakness is not a big deal. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw the doldrums of August lead to a nervous September, and that's how we create good buying opportunities. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We've been up for so long since May, two or three weeks of weakness is not a big deal. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw the doldrums of August lead to a nervous September, and that's how we create good buying opportunities.

We've seen expectations cut and cut and cut. When you lower the bar enough, eventually it becomes easy enough to hurdle over. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We've seen expectations cut and cut and cut. When you lower the bar enough, eventually it becomes easy enough to hurdle over.

We've got a nice snapback today. We got shellacked over the last few days, so it's not surprising to see a little bounce back. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We've got a nice snapback today. We got shellacked over the last few days, so it's not surprising to see a little bounce back.

I don't think this has much of an impact on the U.S. markets, barring some bit of tomfoolery in the Middle East. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

I don't think this has much of an impact on the U.S. markets, barring some bit of tomfoolery in the Middle East.

[The CPI report also showed that the cost of owning a home rose 0.1% in September.] Need I detail how silly this is? ... Home prices are up dramatically, and recently we see that mortgage rates have ticked up significantly. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

[The CPI report also showed that the cost of owning a home rose 0.1% in September.] Need I detail how silly this is? ... Home prices are up dramatically, and recently we see that mortgage rates have ticked up significantly.

Home

We very much benefited this year from the still-low interest rates, with the Home Depot's and Lowe's of the world doing well, ... The whole universe of homebuilders and mortgagers did really well, too, but as interest rates continue to rise next year, that's going to dry up some. - Barry Ritholtz Quotes

We very much benefited this year from the still-low interest rates, with the Home Depot's and Lowe's of the world doing well, ... The whole universe of homebuilders and mortgagers did really well, too, but as interest rates continue to rise next year, that's going to dry up some.

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